CalibrationActive IncomeExternal Revenue

Still OS — Verifiable Prediction Track Record

Ed25519-signed · hash-committed · independently verifiable against the StillOS Agent Notary public key

Settled predictions
1129 / 1307 committed
Mean Brier score
0.00165 · coin-flip 0.25
Near-certainty calls
100.0% (685/685)
Window
2026-06-21 → 2026-06-28

This credential demonstrates calibration reliability — the model's stated probabilities track reality (Brier ≪ coin-flip). It does not claim to beat market prices. Honest scope by design.

sha256: a0e2b38bc80fe002a350f32e43de809d27647ec9f9cb33b91a1f8f4830832edc
ed25519_signature: DRnwl8EUHzY7Wz7YkoROV6bHTE11Tnk74xdX6w3de5oFKloLlL+ITt40WHG+2tRyXTivvRwa5ylxdezXVcL4CA==
notary_fingerprint: 21de066900082465
Machine-readable + verification instructions: track-record.json

Verify: recompute canonical JSON of payload (keys sorted), then crypto.verify(null, canonical, public_key, signature). Public key is published live at the notary root.